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Econ Brief

Cutting-edge research from the UCL Department of Economics

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Author: Raffaella Giacomini

  • Faster, better, stronger: the UK economy, in real time

    Theory & methods

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    4th June 2026

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    Raffaella Giacomini

    Being able to know what’s happening in the economy in something close to real time is of great value to policy-makers, business leaders, journalists and households. A new ‘nowcasting’ tool developed here at UCL Economics provides updated ways to measure both GDP and inflation with greater accuracy.

    Faster, better, stronger: the UK economy, in real time
  • Seeing the individual in the crowd: predictions for fairer decisions

    Theory & methods

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    28th May 2026

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    Raffaella Giacomini

    Sokbae Lee

    Silvia Sarpietro

    When a computer model can decide someone’s future, that individual deserves to be judged on their own merits, not just by how they compare to a majority group of which they might not be part. A new analytical technique points towards a world where data help us to understand people’s unique stories.

    Seeing the individual in the crowd: predictions for fairer decisions
  • Measuring the impact of change when everyone is included

    Theory & methods

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    19th March 2026

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    Irene Botosaru

    Raffaella Giacomini

    Martin Weidner

    Many big policy decisions – including environmental regulations, major tax shifts and universal health interventions – are national in scope. This makes it difficult to evaluate their effectiveness since everyone is affected by the new measure. An innovative econometric tool provides a solution.

    Measuring the impact of change when everyone is included

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